Timeline for How to explain Monty Hall problem when they just don't get it
Current License: CC BY-SA 3.0
10 events
| when toggle format | what | by | license | comment | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2015 at 23:56 | comment | added | Vandermonde | ... If you believe in luck being an inherent quality of a player (and I do know some nearly consistent winners over quite a long term) or in lack of true randomness, the model assumed here no longer applies. | |
| Nov 19, 2015 at 23:56 | comment | added | Vandermonde | @hildred: Well, she is onto the intuition that in order to conclude anything about probabilities or optimal strategy, you need assumptions about probabilities -- one cannot get something for nothing (in reasoning deductively, all of the content of any conclusions you make is already contained in your hypotheses) -- and those assumptions can well be wrong, resulting in garbage-in/garbage-out, TANSTAAFL, whatever you like to call it.... | |
| Jun 20, 2014 at 13:35 | vote | accept | Tutor | ||
| Jun 18, 2014 at 17:04 | comment | added | Ryan Reich | @hildred That is totally hilarious! Did you point out that, whatever you think the reason is, you might have been tricked? | |
| Jun 18, 2014 at 16:56 | comment | added | hildred | When I tried to explain the Monty Hall problem to may Grandpa's CNA, she insisted you should always hold because there was a reason you picked it in the first place. I was unable to successfully counter this belief. | |
| Jun 17, 2014 at 4:05 | comment | added | Ryan Reich | @Tutor It was timely when it was written :) | |
| Jun 17, 2014 at 2:30 | comment | added | Tutor | "This question shouldn't be about "all methods to explain Monty Hall" anyway" .....too late :( | |
| Jun 15, 2014 at 13:53 | comment | added | Tutor | True....but it's still a good method when the other party is not too proud to look at things a different way | |
| Jun 15, 2014 at 13:33 | comment | added | Tutor | Think I should put "my" method in as an answer of its own? [not really my own...it belongs to whoever explained it to me properly (though not first -- whoever that was did not do a good job;)] | |
| Jun 15, 2014 at 5:33 | history | answered | Ryan Reich | CC BY-SA 3.0 |