I edited and shortened the following's origin. Is learning to intuit exponentiality, implausible (e.g. like hearing Xenakis's gratingly dissonant music as Mozart's tonal consonant melodies)?
Problem 1: Exponents aren’t intuitive
Math and statistics, aren't natural. Here’s an example: What’s the chance of getting 10 heads in a row when flipping coins? The untrained brain might think like this:
“Well, getting one head is a 50% chance. Getting two heads is twice as hard, so a 25% chance. Getting ten heads is probably 10 times harder… so about 50%/10 or a 5% chance.”
And there we sit, smug as a bug on a rug. No dice bub.
After pounding your head with statistics, you know not to divide, but use exponents. The chance of 10 heads is not $.5/10$ but .510 $ \approx .001$.
But despite training, we still remain caught again. At 5% interest we’ll double our money in 14 years, rather than the “expected” 20. Did you naturally infer the Rule of 72 when learning about interest rates? Probably not. Understanding compound exponential growth with our linear brains is hard.